Spider-Man: Brand New Day is generating massive hype, and with good reason. The fourth installment in Tom Holland's Spider-Man franchise is set to raise the stakes for the MCU's web-slinger, and with a star-studded cast, the question on everyone's mind is: who will survive and who won't? As the trailer revealed a host of characters, the rankings for their survival chances are in, from least likely to most likely. But before we dive into the rankings, let's take a step back and consider the broader implications of this movie. What makes this particularly fascinating is the potential for a dramatic shift in the MCU's landscape, with some beloved characters facing the possibility of death. In my opinion, the MCU has always been about pushing boundaries and exploring new territory, and Brand New Day is no exception. The movie promises to be a thrilling ride, with high stakes and unexpected twists. Now, let's take a closer look at the characters and their chances of survival. First, we have Bruce Banner/the Hulk, played by Mark Ruffalo. As the only known force powerful enough to harm the Hulk is now gone, most expect the enormous green rage monster to come out of this story without a scratch. Personally, I think this is a safe bet. The Hulk has always been a force of nature, and with Ruffalo's portrayal, he's become an iconic character. I don't see him being killed off, but rather, he'll serve as a powerful force that Spider-Man must confront. Next up is the Punisher, played by Jon Bernthal. Given Frank's resilience on-screen and popularity off-screen, there is only a slim chance that Marvel would kill him off in this movie. He will be on the heels of his Disney+ Special Presentation right before this, and Marvel may want to keep him around for a long time. I agree with this assessment. The Punisher has always been a fan favorite, and with Bernthal's portrayal, he's become an iconic character in his own right. I don't see him being killed off, but rather, he'll continue to be a force to be reckoned with in the MCU. Moving on to MJ, played by Zendaya. There is certainly a precedent for a Spider-Man love interest to die, as Emma Stone's Gwen Stacy bit the bullet in 2014's The Amazing Spider-Man 2. However, given Zendaya's status as a megastar and fans' hopes of seeing Peter and MJ get back together, the odds of Marvel and Sony repeating this move are slim. I think this is a smart move on Marvel and Sony's part. Zendaya has become a global superstar, and her portrayal of MJ has been a fan favorite. I don't see her being killed off, but rather, she'll continue to be a key player in the MCU. Next, we have Ned Leeds, played by Jacob Batalon. Like MJ, Ned is one of the safer characters in this movie when it comes to being killed off. While he would surely deliver a highly emotional moment by dying, his friendship with Peter is something fans hope to see brought back into the fold. I agree with this assessment. Ned has always been a fan favorite, and his friendship with Peter is a key part of the Spider-Man story. I don't see him being killed off, but rather, he'll continue to be a key player in the MCU. Now, let's move on to Sadie Sink's unconfirmed character. Sink's character is basically guaranteed to survive the events of Brand New Day, as Marvel and Sony are sure to want to capitalize on one of the biggest rising stars in the industry. Additionally, she has already been confirmed for a role in 2027's Avengers: Secret Wars, suggesting she will likely play a major Marvel character. I think this is a smart move on Marvel and Sony's part. Sadie Sink is a rising star, and her character will likely be a key player in the MCU. I don't see her being killed off, but rather, she'll continue to be a force to be reckoned with in the MCU. Next, we have Tombstone, played by Marvin Jones III. With this being Tombstone's first live-action appearance, Marvel may want to keep him around for a future bigger role (similar to Michael Mando's roles in Spider-Man: Homecoming and this movie). However, Spider-Man may find a way to take him out during his superhero journey. I think this is a smart move on Marvel's part. Tombstone is a classic villain, and his live-action debut will likely be a key moment in the MCU. I don't see him being killed off, but rather, he'll continue to be a force to be reckoned with in the MCU. Moving on to Spider-Man himself, played by Tom Holland. While Holland is not expected to end his MCU tenure in this movie, Peter could 'die' in a more metaphorical sense if his expected physical transformation pushes too far. After some kind of biological event gives him organic webbing, there is a chance he could morph into the Man-Spider from the comics and kill off his Peter Parker persona, but that would be unlikely to stick for long. I think this is a smart move on Marvel's part. The MCU has always been about pushing boundaries and exploring new territory, and this movie is no exception. I don't see Holland ending his tenure in this movie, but rather, he'll continue to be a key player in the MCU. Next, we have Boomerang, who makes a short appearance in the first trailer. Depending on how big this villain's role is, the odds of him living or dying are likely even, as he could be taken out while Peter Parker makes his return to protecting New York. However, he could just as easily be defeated and thrown in prison if he proves to be that kind of threat. I think this is a smart move on Marvel's part. Boomerang is a classic villain, and his role in the movie will likely be a key moment in the MCU. I don't see him being killed off, but rather, he'll continue to be a force to be reckoned with in the MCU. Moving on to Tarantula, who makes his MCU debut in this movie. Similar to Boomerang, Tarantula could be set up for an early exit if his role in the movie is not a big one. Even though Spider-Man is not a character known for killing, Tarantula certainly has higher odds of not making it than most of the other players in Brand New Day. I think this is a smart move on Marvel's part. Tarantula is a classic villain, and his role in the movie will likely be a key moment in the MCU. I don't see him being killed off, but rather, he'll continue to be a force to be reckoned with in the MCU. Next, we have MJ's boyfriend, played by Eman Esfandi. Killing off Esfandi's character doesn't seem likely, but it would leave MJ single again, giving her and Peter a chance to rekindle their relationship. It is also unclear how big Esfandi's role in the movie is, meaning he could be more of a threat to Peter than just a romantic rival. I think this is a smart move on Marvel's part. MJ's boyfriend is a key part of the Spider-Man story, and his role in the movie will likely be a key moment in the MCU. I don't see him being killed off, but rather, he'll continue to be a force to be reckoned with in the MCU. Moving on to William Metzger, played by Tramell Tillman. Metzger is expected to be one of the movie's biggest villains, with Damage Control still out to curb superhero activity, as seen with Spider-Man. While fans hope to see him stick around for a story with the MCU's mutants when the debut, killing him off would not be a huge shock if his presence impacts Spider-Man to that level. I think this is a smart move on Marvel's part. William Metzger is a key part of the Spider-Man story, and his role in the movie will likely be a key moment in the MCU. I don't see him being killed off, but rather, he'll continue to be a force to be reckoned with in the MCU. Finally, we have Scorpion, played by Michael Mando. Given that Scorpion is going to be one of the main villains in this movie, he naturally has the highest chance of dying in action as he takes on the web-slinger. While he would only be the second Spider-Man villain to die in the MCU, he is certainly the pick to not make it to the credits if one character has to take that slot. I think this is a smart move on Marvel's part. Scorpion is a classic villain, and his role in the movie will likely be a key moment in the MCU. I don't see him being killed off, but rather, he'll continue to be a force to be reckoned with in the MCU. In conclusion, Spider-Man: Brand New Day promises to be a thrilling ride, with high stakes and unexpected twists. While some characters may face the possibility of death, I believe that most of the key players will survive and continue to be a force to be reckoned with in the MCU. The movie is a testament to the creativity and innovation of the MCU, and I can't wait to see what surprises it has in store for us.
